I put those questions to Imran Khan, a research analyst with oil consultancy WoodMackenzie. He says that the average breakeven oil price needed for new deepwater Gulf of Mexico developments in early stages of construction is between $65 and $75 per barrel. That “breakeven” implies a long-term annualized 10% return on capital.
As for completed projects like Jack/St. Malo, where so many billions have already been sunk, Khan says the breakeven price needed to justify incremental investment from here on out is as low as $35 per barrel. Indeed, he says that some of the world’s most economic oil projects today involve new deepwater fields discovered nearby existing offshore infrastructure. These so-called “tie-backs” can generate that 10% breakeven even at oil prices as low as $30 per barrel. Christopher写的,我没内幕,只是关注这些某领域的专栏比较多一点。 假设Imran说话靠谱,那么在初期阶段保证年化回报率在10%的前提下,65-70才可以。 在后续30-35就能保证10%的年化回报。 当然,还是那个前提,他们发现井的效率高
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